Doc Short - seriously…The Blood of Yingzhou District sounds good.
Doc Feature - Would almost be surpised if An Inconvenient Truth doesn’t win here (and my pick) but would be horrified if Jesus Camp won.
Original Screenplay - Little Miss Sunshine
Adapted Screenplay - The Departed
Cinematography - I hear Children of Men does good here so I will too.
Foreign Language - Pan’s Lab but maybe The Lives of Others? I’ll play it safe with Pan’s.
Supporting Actress - No doubt Jennifer Hudson. Go girl!
Supporting Actor - Buzz has been growing for Arkin for Little Miss Sushine apparently but I’m stuck on Eddie Murphy.
Actress - Helen Mirren although I wish Kate Winslet would win.
Actor - Forest Whitaker. I just hope he knows how to give a speech by now. Gu comes off like an idiot.
Director - Scorsese should take it but a possible upset for Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu for Babel.
Picture - OK, thisis th tough one. But this is my reasoning. Nobody saw Iwo Jima so nix that. The Queen is a given nominee but almost a cable tv quality film. Babel wasn’t as clever as it wanted to be and overly contrived. Of course, so was Crash and THAT won. I think The Departed could take it merely on the rolling energy of Scorsese’s probable win but I am going out on a limb and picking Little Miss Sunshine. Witha lot going against it (no director nominee, smaller movie, too sweet), it did win the best cast award at SAG and has total underdog qualities over the oher heavier dramatic flicks
Go Sunshine.